Dodgers vs Phillies Pick: Bet on home team to start another streak


The Dodgers came to Philadelphia last night and snapped the Phillies’ eight-game winning streak with help from Mother Nature. After Aaron Nola’s night was cut short due to a 104-minute rain delay, the Dodgers took advantage of the Phillies’ bullpen, while Philadelphia’s offense failed to come through. convert with Max Scherzer out of the game in a 5-0 loss.

Let’s jump into tonight’s game with our Dodgers vs. Phillies pick and take a look at the betting odds.

Dodgers vs. Phillies Pick (August 11, 2021)

Despite just one loss, the Phillies need to realize what’s at stake going into their game tonight. A win tonight ensures they exit one of their toughest remaining series of the season with no worse than a tie for first place. Lose, though, and they’ll see a one-day final tomorrow against a 13-3 starter in Julio Urias looking to avoid a sweep.

The Phils will likely send in Ranger Suarez to counter, who remains on a pitching count and will need tons of support from a bullpen recalled to his own frailty last night against that same Los Angeles group.

Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds

Let’s take a look at current Dodgers vs. Phillies betting odds, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook:

Team odds Moneyline Total
Rays +1.5 (-165) +120 O 8.5 (-110)
Phillies -1.5 (+145) -140 U 8.5 (-110)

Kyle Gibson takes the ball again in a great position for the Phillies, something he’s done in his first two outings with his new team. Gibson was asked to save a game against the lowly Pirates after Philly dropped the first two games against NL Central lows.

The win kicked off the Phillies’ eight-game winning streak that catapulted them to first place. In his second and most recent start for the team, Gibson was tasked with beating Marcus Stroman of the Mets, which he did.

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Gibson has a stellar 2.79 ERA on the season to go along with his 1.18 WHIP. Since joining the Phillies, he’s found other gear, posting a 2.13 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in his two starts. Los Angeles has an all-star roster, but Gibson has kept the team’s current roster at a useful career average of .271 (19 for 70).

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In a Dodgers rotation that, if healthy, includes Walker Buehler, Clayton Kershaw, Trevor Bauer, Max Scherzer, Dustin May, Julio Urias and Danny Duffy, the Phillies have the chance to face LHP David Price tonight. Price will only be making his ninth start of the season. Only two of his first eight starts have seen the southpaw last five or more innings and the Dodgers have lost six straight times he’s received the ball to start a game.

Like many pitchers, Price struggled more on the road than at home. His 4.24 road ERA is much worse than his 2.93 ERA at Dodger Stadium. The current Phillies are down 28 for 102 (.275) from Price in their career, with Didi Gregorius having particular success at 14 for 37 (.378) with a home run. Price’s teams never beat the Phillies by more than one point in his starts against them, failing to score more than four points each time, averaging just 2.5 points per game.

Here is an overview of some relevant betting trends to know before making a choice between the Dodgers and the Phillies:

Trends to know
The Phillies are averaging 6.3 points per game after a loss and a day off. They are 5-1 in such matches.
Arizona has gone just 34 of its last 107 games under after a bye day.
In Arizona’s previous eight games in this scenario, they’ve averaged 11.3 points per game while allowing their opponents to score 6.5 points per game.

betting prediction

There’s not much bad to say about a team as loaded on every level as the Dodgers. However, the only breach in their seemingly impenetrable armor is their wounds. They’ll be without Justin Turner and Mookie Betts again tonight against a tough right-hander and that’s about as much help as you can hope for against this juggernaut opponent. If Philly is going to win one in this series, it’s almost certain to be tonight, so take the generous prize with the house dogs here.

Pick: Phillies ML (+120)

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